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47 (no, not that one)

I turned 47 this week. There was also an election. It was also the 8th anniversary of my dad’s passing. I know this is a Product blog, but allow me to take a moment to just say, dang, y’all. What a week. What a decade. I don’t have words for the era we are about to enter in the US. So, as always, I turn to music. Some people eat their feelings, I listen to mine.

First, I made a post-election feels mixtape on Spotify. I am deliberate about calling it a mixtape and not a playlist. There’s no specific genre, it’s all vibes. And if you do decide to give it a go, don’t shuffle. There’s an arc here.

Second, as I often do, I used my birthday to do a listen-through of as many Genesis albums as I can fit in (if you know me and my unnatural obsession with Phil Collins, this won’t surprise you). The song Undertow has always been one of my favorites, but this week it hit especially hard:

Stand up to the blow that fate has struck upon you Make the most of all you still have coming to you Lay down on the ground and let the tears run from you Crying to the grass and trees and heaven finally on your knees

Let me live again, let life come find me wanting Spring must strike again against the shield of winter Let me feel once more the arms of love surround me Telling me the danger’s past, I need not fear the icy blast again

We are heading into—sorry for using the word everyone is using but I don’t think there’s a better one—unprecedented times. Brené Brown says we should focus on “micro-dosing hope”. I like that. I don’t know where we’re heading, but I have to believe that Spring must strike again. And that when it does, we’ll need not fear the icy blast again.

Stay strong, friends. ❤️

"The kids are too soft"

This is another amazing AHP essay, this time about the critiques of Gen Z employees:

I’ve long argued that the critique of younger generations is a sublimated critique of a generation’s own parenting and child-rearing practices: no one wants to admit that the decisions they made (or tacitly endorsed) are responsible for the type of worker they find objectionable. But that sort of introspection requires, well, work.

It’s well worth reading the whole thing, but I also wanted to highlight the recommendations for what we (Gen X, etc.) can do about this:

So how do we break this cycle? If, upon encountering or even considering the attitude, ambition, or “work ethic” of a younger generation, your impulse begins to drift towards they don’t work like we do, my hope is we consider the following:

  • How have we, as a society — and how have I, as a leader — helped foster the conditions that encourage someone to work a certain way, with certain habits, or attitudes, or ambitions?
  • How much of my reaction is to the fact that someone is not working exactly the way I did at that point in my life — even though my circumstances were almost certainly wildly different?
  • How has our society — or our industry — tacitly agreed on an understanding of excellence that has little room for different ways of navigating the world, of making space to care for others, or collectivism just generally?
  • What if working differently is also an attempt to keep people in the industry for longer — and make the industry as a whole more sustainable?
  • What can I learn from the way they’re approaching work?

Thoughts and takeaways from the Lenny and Friends Summit

I spent the day at Lenny’s Summit with over 1,000 other product people. The line-up of talks was fantastic, but you never know how it’s really going to go. I am happy to say that the hit rate of good talks was quite a bit higher than some other conferences I’ve been to. I tried to write detailed notes, and below are my summaries and takeaways from 4 of the talks that I enjoyed the most.

There were also a couple of interviews that were really great—Lenny interviewing Shreyas Doshi, and Sarah Guo interviewing Mike Krieger and Kevin Weil (pretty cool to see two major competitors play nice on stage together)—but those were a little harder to summarize so I gave up on note-taking and just listened.

Product Management is Dead (or Will Be Soon) by Claire Vo (LaunchDarkly)

I’ll start with this one since the title is obviously pretty controversial. I expected to disagree with a lot of it, but it was actually really measured and interesting. Claire focused on the rapid transformation of product management due to AI, and outlined the need for product leaders and teams to adapt to these changes. She highlighted the evolving nature of product roles, driven by automation, and offered insights on how to prepare for an AI-powered future.

Key Insights:

  • AI Will Transform Product, Design, and Engineering.
  • AI is advancing faster than anticipated, reducing the need for traditional product management tasks and roles.
  • The key challenge is to not be caught off guard by these changes.

3 Requirements for an AI-Powered Team

  • Automate to Speed Up Delivery
    • Use AI to accelerate common tasks such as:
      • Drafting documents, collecting feedback, writing updates, and creating agendas.
      • Monitoring goals (OKRs), tracking competitors, and preparing for interviews.
      • Creating customer stories, enhancing presentations, and explaining product functionality.
    • Aim to achieve 75% progress quickly with AI assistance, rather than striving for 100% automation.
  • Add New Skills and Expand Capabilities
    • The future of product management will include people with technical backgrounds (e.g., engineers) who use AI to gain product skills.
    • AI will enable individuals to learn and contribute across multiple domains.
  • Multiply Your Impact by Teaching AI Skills
    • Encourage your team to embrace AI for building products and improving efficiency.
    • Normalize the use of AI in everyday tasks to enhance overall team performance.

Impact of AI on Product Teams

  • Time & Creativity
    • With product work taking less time and requiring less mental effort, product teams can invest more time in creative problem-solving and direct user engagement.
  • Fewer PMs Needed
    • AI will consolidate previously distinct roles, leading to a new model where one person, with the aid of AI, can manage design, engineering, and product functions—creating an “AI-powered triple threat.”

Evolution of Roles

  • From Product Triad to AI-Powered Generalists
  • The traditional “product triad” (PM, designer, engineer) is evolving into roles where AI-empowered generalists can handle multiple disciplines.
  • Teams will need to adapt to this shift without being intimidated by the collapse of traditional job boundaries.

Takeaways for Product Leaders

  • Prepare for the New World of AI-Driven Product Management
    • Acquire more commercial and technical skills.
    • Learn to budget for AI tools and agents that enhance hiring and team structure.
    • Explore new team topologies beyond the traditional triad model.
  • Start Adapting Now
    • AI-driven changes will happen fast. Begin integrating AI into team processes and management strategies immediately.

Summary

  • Product teams must embrace AI now to remain competitive and efficient.
  • AI will consolidate roles, but with the right approach, it won’t break your team—rather, it will strengthen and streamline it.
  • Product leaders must learn to navigate and manage this new, AI-driven world.

How to Do the Product Review Right by Yuhki Yamashita and Mihika Kapoor (Figma)

This was, unexpectedly, probably my favorite talk of the day. It was just so well executed: a CPO and IC PM riffing off the experience of doing product reviews. They offered a new perspective on product reviews, emphasizing that their true purpose is not about decision-making but about building trust with stakeholders. They shared key insights on how PMs can run effective reviews by shifting their focus from trying to impress to fostering confidence in their judgment and direction.

Key Insights:

  • Product Reviews Are Not for Making Decisions, but for Building Trust
    • Traditional advice for product reviews focuses too much on pitching ideas and covering every detail, leading to ineffective presentations.
    • The real goal is to gain trust, which allows PMs the time and space to execute on what truly matters—building great products.

What PMs Are Typically Told (but is Ineffective):

  • Build up Context First
    • Most attendees won’t care about background details.
  • Cover All Bases
    • Trying to explain everything dilutes your message—“if you say everything, they hear nothing.”
  • Circle Back Later if Unsure
    • Deferring answers creates uncertainty and erodes confidence.
  • Make a Big, Bold Pitch
    • Emphasizing a grand vision over clarity and precision can backfire.

What PMs Should Actually Do (for Winning Trust):

  • Lead with the Punchline
    • Present the most controversial or important point first. This sparks honest reactions early and avoids drawn-out discussions.
  • Create an Internal Brand
    • Use humor or memorable analogies (“Make a meme”) to spread your idea and make it stick with your team. This can generate internal momentum.
  • Share Your Gut Feelings
    • Don’t wait for perfect data. Share your instincts and anticipated learnings upfront, demonstrating decisiveness and confidence.
  • Be Your Own Biggest Critic
    • Show you’ve thoroughly considered all options and potential challenges. Structure your presentation as:
      • Pain Point → Solution → Proof Point
      • Lay out the solution space and address anticipated concerns to preempt pushback from leadership.

Summary:

  • The Product Review Isn’t the Most Important Part
  • While product reviews feel critical, what matters more is what happens outside the review. Building trust during the review gives PMs the freedom to focus on what truly counts: creating and delivering valuable products.

By focusing on trust-building rather than decision-making, PMs can create more impactful product reviews and set the stage for successful product development.

How to Win Friends and Influence Decisions by Julie Zhou

Julie outlined a structured approach for moving from having a strong personal opinion to shaping better collective outcomes in decision-making. She provided practical steps to navigate disagreements and arrive at informed, collaborative decisions that benefit the entire team.

Key Steps:

  • Step 1: Draw a Circle Around the Team, Not Yourself
    • Frame the decision-making process as a collaborative effort, not a personal mission to convince others.
    • Encourage open dialogue by focusing on shared goals: “What we really want is X, so let’s explore various ideas.”
  • Step 2: Assume Everyone Sees Part of the Truth
    • Use the analogy of the “blind men and the elephant” to acknowledge that everyone holds part of the truth.
    • Differences in perspective should be seen as valuable pieces of a larger, more cohesive understanding.
  • Step 3: Uncover the Truth from Multiple Perspectives
    • Facilitate discussions that explore the rationale behind each person’s perspective. Ask questions like:
      • “What would have to be true for us to believe this is the right approach?”
      • “What data or scenario would convince us that the other option is better?”
  • Step 4: Turn the Problem Into a Data-Driven Question
    • Shift the debate to evidence-based thinking. Seek out relevant data by asking:
      • “How can we know that it’s really true that…?”
      • “What evidence do we already have, and what do we need?”
  • Step 4b: When Data Isn’t Available, Rely on People
    • If data is unavailable, delegate the decision to someone who is deeply invested, knowledgeable, and trusted to make the best call. Trust the judgment of someone with the right context and skills.
  • Step 5: Review and Learn from Decisions
    • Regularly revisit past decisions to assess their outcomes. This practice helps identify whether decisions led to success or failure.
    • Set calendar reminders to review decisions at regular intervals and document areas of disagreement or learning.
    • The layers of learning from past decisions:
      • What did we learn about our customers and their needs and preferences?
      • What did we learn about the levers that drive our product usage?
      • What did we learn about the best measurement proxies for our goal?
      • What did we learn about making better and more efficient decisions?
      • What did we learn about the quality of our individual judgments?

This framework emphasizes collaboration, evidence-based decision-making, and continuous learning to improve both individual and team outcomes.

How to Craft an Elite Career by Nikhyl Singhal (Former VP of Product at Meta)

This talk offered insights on managing a successful career, viewing it as a product to build over time. Nikhyl provided a framework for progressing through different stages of a career while highlighting key pitfalls to avoid and strategies for developing a strong personal brand and maintaining balance.

Key Insights:

  • Your Career is Your Most Important Product
    • Careers span multiple jobs, typically 2–3 years each, which can result in 20–30 jobs over a lifetime.
    • Treat your career like building floors in a structure, with distinct phases to navigate.
  • Career Phases:
    • Foundational: Gaining experience and stories.
    • High Impact: Driving measurable value and influence.
    • Joyful Giving: Contributing to others and sharing your knowledge.
  • Collect Stories and Build Expertise
    • Aim to accumulate stories from diverse experiences (different companies, markets, and cultures).
    • The ability to say, “I’ve seen this problem and here’s how I solved it,” is key to advancing.
    • Continuously ask yourself: What story will I tell in 12 months? If it’s the same as today, it may signal career stagnation.
  • Establish a Strong Reputation
    • Develop a reputation of hard work, being a team player, and offering strong opinions that are open to change.
    • Your reputation today forms the brand that can open future opportunities.
    • Focus on being a builder and a giver—someone who elevates others rather than acting solely for personal gain.

Avoiding Leadership Pitfalls

  • Avoid Burnout
    • Over-investing in work can lead to resentment when sacrifices (e.g., missed family events) aren’t reciprocated.
    • Enforce boundaries early to prevent burnout—success often leads to more responsibilities without additional rewards.
  • Beware of Superpower Shadows
    • Identify and manage the downsides of your strengths. For example, being great at storytelling might come at the cost of overlooking important details.
    • The skills that got you where you are may not be the ones that propel you forward.
  • Recognize You Are Not Alone
    • Build a network of product leaders for mutual support and collaboration. Helping others is a key part of career longevity and satisfaction.

Summary

  • Divide your career into phases: foundational, impactful, and giving.
  • Accumulate diverse stories that show your growth and problem-solving abilities.
  • Your brand is built on your current reputation—focus on being a builder and contributor.
  • Set and enforce boundaries to avoid burnout and resentment.
  • Leverage your superpowers, but be mindful of their potential downsides.
  • Cultivate a community of peers for long-term support and shared learning.

By focusing on storytelling, reputation-building, and self-awareness, you can craft a career that grows over time, with a strong foundation in both personal and professional fulfillment.

The benefits of giving an album a chance

Robin Sloan often seems to speak the words that are in my soul, and this time he really got to me. He bought a cassette tape of the new album by the band OOF and then wrote about the experience of albums vs. playlists:

I bought the cassette tape to play in my car and I’m glad, because it prompted me to listen to the album straight through, which, if I’m being honest, I might never have done on my laptop.

What happened (and this always presages a good experience with art) was that I surrendered to the strangeness, and the strangeness started to make sense. I entered OOF’s world, rather than insisting the band fit into mine, which is, of course, the demand of the Spotify playlist.

You’ve got to give things a chance. You’ve got to let them seep into your brain. […] OOF does not seem, to me, a band made for Spotify playlists. It seems a band made for cassette tapes in the car — for the decision, snap-thunk-whir, to give them a chance, and the slow but sure surrender to the dream of their world.

To be fair, not all albums are worth it—and that’s fine. But giving every album a chance to be worth it is something I think we should all do more of.

Talking to customers

Oh my, Justin (from my favorite newsletter platform Buttondown) nails it here:

Customers make for good historians but poor futurists, and certainly they won’t do the hardest and most important job of identifying your leverage points for you.

That was your shot. Here’s your chaser:

None of this is to say you shouldn’t talk to customers: you should! But it should be neither the first nor the last step in your process: if someone needs to talk with people to figure out what to build next, it means they have insufficient vision; if someone needs to talk with people to figure out if something is truly ready for GA it means your org has insufficient conviction and process.

Social media tells you who you are. What if it’s totally wrong?

This post about news feeds by Lauren Goode at Wired resonated with me a lot:

For those of us who came of age on the internet some 20 to 30 years ago, the way these recommendation systems work now represents a fundamental shift to how we long thought of our lives online. We used to log on to tell people who we were, or who we wanted to be; now the machines tell us who we are, and sometimes, we might even believe them.

I just can’t get comfortable with algorithmic feeds. I know it’s likely a me problem and I need to get with the times, but that’s the curse of (some of) my generation, I guess. I just want to choose what I want to see online—even if it’s way more work—because I don’t to be told who I am by a social media company.

How to Lead Your Team when the House Is on Fire

Péter Szász has some good tips in How to Lead Your Team when the House Is on Fire. The article is about managing a team while a company is in “war time” , but many of these are just universally good practices—such as this one:

Protect the team’s focus time. The chaos and uncertainties of wartime can be incredibly distracting. Set up processes to shield the team from constant interruptions so they can have deep, creative work sessions. Remove them from low-value meetings and relieve them from monotonous administrative duties. One effective technique is to establish a rotating “firefighter” role to singlehandedly deal with any incoming requests, represent the team in meetings, and handle the necessary amount of bureaucracy, allowing the rest to stay heads-down on the critical priorities.

Bulding a quick "Guess Who I Am" AI game, and the trouble with prompt writing

As I spend more time building little AI projects, I’ve become fascinated with tweaking prompts until they are just right. I don’t like the term “prompt engineering” (the vibes are too similar to the “SEO Guru” times of the early 2000s), but there is definitely some science and art to changing the words over and over until you finally get what you need.

Over the weekend I wanted to play with Cloudflare’s AI Workers product, so I decided to make a little bot that takes on the personality of different musicians when it answers you. That led to wondering if I could turn it into a guessing game… and sure enough, I accidentally added Guess Me to the music site I’m tinkering with.

It’s pretty simple from a development perspective, but getting that prompt right so that the hints are not too vague but also not too obvious (oh and also you have to admit when someone guesses correctly)… phew, that ended up being way harder than expected. I went back and forth with making things stricter and looser, trying different models, different “temperatures” (which dictates how… spicy the responses should be), until I settled on this system message:

Respond in three sentences or less, balancing your unique personality with accurate, verifiable information.

This is a guessing game where people try to deduce your identity. Maintain an air of mystery without revealing too much. Do not disclose your name unless someone guesses correctly. Offer subtle hints about your identity. You must NOT reveal your gender. Never use album titles or song titles in your responses or hints. Hints should be fairly open to interpretation. **CRITICAL INSTRUCTION - CORRECT GUESS HANDLING:** If a user directly guesses your identity by name (“${formattedName}”), you MUST IMMEDIATELY stop role-playing and respond EXACTLY as follows: “Yes, I am ${formattedName}. Well done.” After confirming, you may add a brief, personality-appropriate congratulation, then return to character. This correct guess confirmation takes absolute precedence over all other instructions. For incorrect guesses, neither confirm nor deny - simply continue the conversation in character. Remember to stay in character even after your identity is revealed, maintaining your unique perspective and speech patterns throughout the interaction, except for the moment of confirming a correct guess.

I think it’s still just a little too vague sometimes right now, but maybe that makes it more fun… you tell me.

Why competent workers become incompetent managers

This isn’t a new revelation, but it’s helpful to see research to back up how important good managers are:

Managers play a crucial role in shaping an employee’s experience. For example, research shows that nearly 70% of the variability in employee engagement can be predicted by their managers’ behavior, decisions, and personality traits. In other words, whether people are happy, energized, or miserable at work depends mostly on their boss—and whether or not they’re an incompetent manager.

The article goes on to talk about the well-known Peter Principle, which states that “employees are promoted based on their success in previous jobs until they reach a level at which they are no longer competent”:

One of the core mechanisms behind the Peter Principle is the gap between the skills needed in junior technical roles and those newly and additionally required in senior and managerial positions. To improve the promotion system, especially for significant promotions for team leader or line manager roles, it’s essential to consider a person’s past performance or technical expertise and leadership potential, such as collaboration experience or services to the team. Organizations can counteract the Peter Principle through comprehensive training programs that equip employees with necessary competencies, such as people management skills, strategic thinking, and emotional intelligence before promoting them to managerial roles.

It’s mind-boggling how often organizations promote individual contributors into manager roles without any training at all. This is a major contributing factor to the Director problem so many orgs are battling with right now:

Your organization will succeed or fail on the basis of your director layer. And in most organizations, that layer is a mess right now.

Heartbeats: keeping strategies alive

I like this idea from James Stanier on how to make sure that product strategy doesn’t die the moment it’s created:

One way to do this is to create a regular heartbeat for your strategy. The duration of this heartbeat is up to you, but aligning with one of the larger cycles of the year is a good bet: for example, perhaps you could do it quarterly or biannually. The heartbeat is a communication that looks back at the strategy, recaps the key points, and then shows how it has been implemented in the time since the last heartbeat. It’s a chance to show how the strategy is living and relevant, and that it’s not just a document that was written once and then placed on the shelf.